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Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? Likely No

2026-01-05T01:17:38.404Z

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Apr 1, 3:59 AM (in 15 days)

GeopoliticsPoliticsTrumpVenezuela

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Market Statistics

APR

—

LAST TRADE

0.006

1WK VOL

106,901.08

1MO VOL

598,399.42

1YR VOL

899,707.11

END AT 2026/04/01

15 days left

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