Yield

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? Likely No

2026-01-29T01:12:30.206Z

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Jun 18, 3:59 AM (in 3 months)

Economic PolicyEconomyFedFed RatesJerome PowellParlays

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Market Statistics

APR

—

LAST TRADE

0.021

1WK VOL

103,620.31

1MO VOL

300,198.61

1YR VOL

301,838.71

END AT 2026/06/18

3 months left

Price History

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Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? Likely No