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U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31? Likely No

2026-02-20T01:08:30.151Z

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem, Israel, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

Apr 1, 3:59 AM (in 15 days)

GeopoliticsIranIsraelPoliticsRegional SpilloverTrumpU.S. x Iran

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Market Statistics

APR

—

LAST TRADE

0.049

1WK VOL

16,285.31

1MO VOL

33,342.95

1YR VOL

33,342.95

END AT 2026/04/01

15 days left

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